how to read
How to read this board
The five measures, the threshold we flag each at, and a real case from our reports. For the full explanation, read Reading derivatives.
01Extreme funding
Funding: who pays to stay in
Perpetuals settle every 1–8 hours: when the perp trades above spot, longs pay shorts, and the other way round. The board converts everything to an 8-hour rate.
Flagged at≥ 0.05% per 8 hours either way
IOST hit −2% (per 4 hours) on 21 Oct: shorts were packed in and the price was squeezed higher. →Reading derivatives · lesson 1 →02OI swing
Open interest: is new money coming in
The value of all open contracts. Price up with OI up means fresh bets; price up with OI down usually means shorts being forced out.
Flagged atA 24-hour change of ±25% or more
SIREN’s OI went from $8.1M to $15.9M and back to $9.1M, and the price made the same round trip. →Reading derivatives · lesson 2 →03Retail one-sided
Long/short: which side retail is on
For retail we use the share of accounts that are long; for big traders, the long/short position ratio of the top 20% of accounts. Retail piling to one side, or against big traders, has often come before a reversal.
Flagged at≥ 80% or ≤ 30% of retail long, or retail against big traders
Before SIREN fell back to where it started, about 80% of retail accounts were long. →Reading derivatives · lesson 3 →04Perp-driven
Perps ÷ spot: who moves the price
Binance perp 24-hour volume divided by Binance spot. The higher it is, the more perp money sets the price; for tokens with no Binance spot, perps are almost all there is. Majors normally run 5–15×.
Flagged at25× or more, or no Binance spot
On IOST’s big day, perps traded $975M, about 20× Binance spot. →Reading derivatives · lesson 4 →05Korea premium
Korea premium: Upbit vs the rest
The gap between Upbit’s won price, converted at the USDT rate, and Binance. It widens when deposits are paused or Korean retail piles in.
Flagged at±3% or more
After deposits were paused for IOST’s hard fork, Upbit traded up to 33% below Binance spot. →These measures only describe what the market looks like now: which side is crowded and who is moving the price. Crowded does not mean an imminent reversal, and no signal does not mean safe. Nothing here is investment advice, and we make no buy, sell, leverage or position-size suggestions.